Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.053988 0.062994 0.073018 0.085002 0.098940 0.114641 0.133676
2025-10-19 0.039861 0.051568 0.065972 0.084996 0.109465 0.139894 0.180647
2025-10-26 0.032068 0.044899 0.061944 0.086236 0.119980 0.165232 0.230619
2025-11-02 0.027294 0.040779 0.059857 0.088799 0.131620 0.192705 0.286634
2025-11-09 0.022375 0.035364 0.054770 0.085846 0.134401 0.207464 0.326017
2025-11-16 0.019241 0.031975 0.051946 0.085506 0.140550 0.227405 0.375238
2025-11-23 0.016663 0.028988 0.049190 0.084664 0.145476 0.245670 0.423791
2025-11-30 0.015008 0.027234 0.048108 0.086278 0.154433 0.271280 0.487496
2025-12-07 0.013221 0.024958 0.045779 0.085325 0.158681 0.289215 0.539986
2025-12-14 0.011520 0.022577 0.042910 0.082936 0.159906 0.301765 0.584097
2025-12-21 0.010086 0.020480 0.040259 0.080544 0.160699 0.313426 0.627747
2025-12-28 0.009357 0.019648 0.039880 0.082433 0.169884 0.341844 0.707151
2026-01-04 0.008544 0.018556 0.038887 0.083049 0.176786 0.366996 0.784082
2026-01-11 0.007791 0.017483 0.037795 0.083323 0.183043 0.391677 0.863469
2026-01-18 0.007214 0.016708 0.037217 0.084595 0.191553 0.422009 0.958811
2026-01-25 0.006799 0.016233 0.037218 0.087122 0.203106 0.460179 1.076276
2026-02-01 0.006028 0.014826 0.034962 0.084226 0.202023 0.470424 1.131806
2026-02-08 0.005523 0.013979 0.033872 0.083893 0.206818 0.494452 1.222465
2026-02-15 0.005042 0.013122 0.032648 0.083067 0.210307 0.515825 1.309471
2026-02-22 0.004751 0.012702 0.032418 0.084651 0.219894 0.552817 1.439608
2026-03-01 0.004352 0.011944 0.031254 0.083715 0.223006 0.574356 1.533495
2026-03-08 0.003923 0.011050 0.029631 0.081372 0.222169 0.585896 1.602969
2026-03-15 0.003540 0.010226 0.028084 0.079024 0.221013 0.596465 1.671246